Publication


  • Does Consumption Respond to Transitory Shocks? Reconciling Natural Experiments and Semistructural Methods

  • American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics April 2022: https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/mac.20190296

    Abstract: Studies based on natural experiments find that consumption responds strongly and significantly to a transitory variation in income, while semistructural estimations find no pass-through of transitory shocks to consumption. I develop a more robust semistructural estimator that relaxes the assumption that log consumption is a random walk. The robust pass-through estimate is significant and large, implying a yearly marginal propensity to consume of 0.32, close to the natural experiment findings. The robust estimator performs well in numerical simulations of a life cycle model, while nonrobust estimators do not. The difference between the two in the simulations is similar to their difference in the survey data.

    Online Appendix


  • Old Age Risks, Consumption, and Insurance
  • with Richard Blundell, Margherita Borella & Mariacristina De Nardi https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w27348/w27348.pdf

    Conditionally accepted at the American Economic Review

    Abstract: In old age, consumption can fluctuate because of shocks to available resources and because health shocks affect utility from consumption. We find that even temporary drops in income and health are associated with drops in consumption and most of the effect of temporary drops in health on consumption stems from the reduction in the marginal utility from consumption that they generate. More precisely, after a health shock, richer households adjust their consumption of luxury goods because their utility of consuming them changes. Poorer households, instead, adjust both their necessary and luxury consumption because of changing resources and utility from consumption.